Taylor Report

It's a holiday week here in the U.S. (Thanksgiving) which leads into the year end...........and, that means WHAT?.......UNCERTAINTY for sure......usually there are year end market rallies but not so sure this year.

SEEMS EVERYONE NOW ACCEPTS THAT INTEREST RATES WILL RISE, INFLATION WILL "RUN HOT" AND ALL IS GOOD. IT IS NOT. THOSE THINGS REALLY DO MATTER, NO MATTER WHAT THE CONSENSUS THINKS.

END OF THE FIRST QUARTER COMING UP. LOTS OF MONEY BEING PUT TO WORK AND PORTFOLIOS BEING "MARKED UP" (window dressing). WAR, INTEREST RATES AND INFLATION STILL MATTER. BE CAUTIOUS.

INFLATION CONTINUES TO EXPLODE HIGHER (LIKE PRODUCER PRICES TODAY), INTEREST RATES HOLDING STEADY (FOR NOW) AND MARKETS ARE YAWNING. GOTTA FEEL SOMETHING'S COMING.

It happened. Again. First Bitcoin exceeded the price of gold (2017) and now.......ETH is firmly above the shiny metal's price. It's right in front of you; gold has been replaced by the digital asset twins.

China is a mess........big firms in the property sector defaulting on bonds, now a power shortage, cracking down (again) on crypto. I really wish china would go back to making artificial Christmas trees and cat toys and stop trying to dominate the world's financial system.

The fed still thinks (for public consumption ) that inflation is transitory and is hoping (praying) they won't need to raise interest rates. They will be forced to at some point.

The fed finally admits inflation is here and real. Pandemic fears are replacing monetary policy to try and slow the economy and slow inflation. It won't work.

What's New? FUD (fear, uncertainty, doubt).............Stabilization over the Memorial Day long weekend.....End of Month (May) came and now it's June....BITCOIN had one of its worst months ever dropping +/- 35%..........ETH held pretty well, only off less than 10% for all of May

OIL IS HIGHER. INFLATION IS HEADING UP, NOT EASING. INTEREST RATES ARE BEING HELD BACK FROM DOING WHAT NEEDS TO BE DONE (STEM INFLATION). BAD OMENS.