The Taylor Market Report (12/9/25)

Common Sense for Uncommon Markets

1197

By Bill Taylor, CEO / Digital Wealth News and AI & Finance


DISCLAIMER: The opinions expressed below are solely those of Bill Taylor & do not represent those of DWN or any affiliates.  Any financial advice included here is for entertainment purposes only.

BULLISH – BITCOIN

NEUTRAL – S&P 500, GOLD, BITCOIN, ETH

BEARISH – ∅

12/9/25 Closing Prices:

BTC:  $93,262.11 | +2.2%  (Tue-Tue)
ETH:  $3,334 | +11.4%  (Tue-Tue)
Gold:  $4,156 | 0%  (Tue-Tue)
S&P 500:  6,840.51 | +0.02%  (Tue-Tue)


Countdown to the Fed meeting announcement, which happens tomorrow, Wednesday 12/10. Then it’s countdown to year-end. Then? Let’s wait and see how things go.

Obviously, the Fed announcement on interest rates is the BIG thing. But rather than just expect a cut of 25bp (99% probability), there may be a twist. With a lot of internal discussion within the Fed committee about a) holding rates where they are, b) raising rates (inflation, ya know), c) easing rates, or d) cutting rates 50bp, how do they get a consensus? Here’s what’s floating: a “hawkish ease.” Yeah, I know that’s a chickening out. But they will ease, yet raise the bar higher for future cuts. Kind of a “bearish cut.”

Once again, I am remaining neutral with the exception of BITCOIN. With the new year and holiday season coming up fast, why push it? A few more weeks and some 2026 clarity (?) — it feels good to just chill. So, neutral on GOLD, ETH, and S&P 500.

BITCOIN looks like a sharp (new highs) rally is coming. Quickly. THAT would be a surprise, but it is what it is. Going long.

Theory? (Sort of, anyway.) Notice when Trump began blasting drug-smuggling boats out of the water? BITCOIN sold off. Sure, the smugglers were BITCOIN buyers with millions to spend (launder). Now, take away that flow and BTC sells off. Currently, the “boat elimination policy” is kind of on hold since some politicians are concerned about those poor smugglers (oh, fishermen). Drugs get through, buying (laundering) BITCOIN is back, and BTC rallies. Hmmmmmm! (lol)

Wait for the FED.

S&P 500…..Neutral
GOLD…..Neutral
BITCOIN…..Bullish
ETH…..Neutral


2025 TARGETS:   

  • BITCOIN 2025………..?
  • ETH 2025………………?
  • GOLD 2025……………..?
  • S&P 500 2025………….?

Current trading positions: 

  •  BITCOIN…….LONG
  •  ETH….NONE
  •  GOLD….NONE
  •  S&P 500….NONE 

We compare the price of Bitcoin, Ethereum, Gold & the S&P 500. We use the CME Bitcoin Indexes (BRR & BRTI) and the CME Ethereum Indexes (ETH_RR_USD) & (ETH_RTI_USD) for reference as well as the London Bullion Market afternoon price settlement on the digital assets & gold.


Bill Taylor is CEO of Digital Wealth News. He is widely published & quoted in financial media and an international expert on markets and BTC, ETH, Gold & SP500.

His opinions are solely his own and for informative purposes only.