By Bill Taylor, CEO / Digital Wealth News and AI & Finance
DISCLAIMER: The opinions expressed below are solely those of Bill Taylor & do not represent those of DWN or any affiliates. Any financial advice included here is for entertainment purposes only.
BULLISH –
NEUTRAL – GOLD, BITCOIN, ETH, S&P 500
BEARISH –
8/12/25 Closing Prices:
BTC: $119,688.06 +5.3% (Tue-Tue)
ETH: $4,500.76 +25.8% (Tue-Tue)
Gold: $3,306 -1% (Tue-Tue)
S&P 500: 6,445.76 +2.3% (Tue-Tue)
Counting the days until Labor Day and the official end of summer — and the beginning of football season. Time goes by fast.
So far, the financial markets are experiencing the “Golden Age of America” fully. Inflation is moderate and hasn’t exploded as economists predicted. Employment is softer but solid. Interest rates are “scheduled” to come down in September. Peace (?) is breaking out all over the world. My TCU Horned Frogs are a lock to win the NCAA football championship (well, maybe not). What could possibly go wrong? Probably nothing, but just in case, take some precautions.
I’m going to keep this fairly short and direct. There are way too many bulls in the corral right now. Shorts have been gored and bloodied and are nowhere to be seen. Markets are bumping new highs almost every day. The party is getting loud and noisy, and the neighbors are about to call the cops. A few more cocktails, a little more market upside, and the cops will pull up front.
I am going neutral on BITCOIN, ETH, GOLD, and neutral/short on the S&P 500. Every one of those is acting very toppy. The S&P looks like it has a little more upside (on a panic?); GOLD does not; and BITCOIN/ETH may have a bit more upside.
Specifically, I think the markets will continue to meander around until the September 17th Fed meeting, with probable easing of interest rates. There is a 60%-70% probability of a “melt up” for market averages — more new highs. But it’s playing with fire since I truly believe that come mid-September to October there will be a sharp and swift, huge downside — 20%-30%. Out of the blue. No news catalyst, just a shakeout.
Begin NOW and ease into some defensive positions. HEDGE. You won’t have time when the selloff begins. Again… HEDGE.
COME ON. WE ALL KNOW THERE IS GOING TO BE A CORRECTION IN THE MARKETS. WE JUST DON’T KNOW WHEN.
S&P 500….Bearish
GOLD……Neutral
Bitcoin……Neutral
ETH…..Neutral
2025 TARGETS:
- BITCOIN 2025………..?
- ETH 2025………………?
- GOLD 2025……………..?
- S&P 500 2025………….Down 25%
Current trading positions:
- BITCOIN…….NONE
- ETH….NONE
- GOLD….NONE
- SHORT….NONE
We compare the price of Bitcoin, Ethereum, Gold & the S&P 500. We use the CME Bitcoin Indexes (BRR & BRTI) and the CME Ethereum Indexes (ETH_RR_USD) & (ETH_RTI_USD) for reference as well as the London Bullion Market afternoon price settlement on the digital assets & gold.
Bill Taylor is CEO of Digital Wealth News. He is widely published & quoted in financial media and an international expert on markets and BTC, ETH, Gold & SP500.
His opinions are solely his own and for informative purposes only.
