By Bill Taylor, CEO / Digital Wealth News and AI & Finance
DISCLAIMER: The opinions expressed below are solely those of Bill Taylor & do not represent those of DWN or any affiliates. Any financial advice included here is for entertainment purposes only.
BULLISH – BITCOIN, ETH
NEUTRAL – GOLD, S&P 500 (semi-bullish)
BEARISH – Ø
7/22/25 Closing Prices:
BTC: $119,555.87 +2.4% (Tue-Tue)
ETH: $3,696.71 +20.1% (Tue-Tue)
Gold: $3,390 +3% (Tue-Tue)
S&P 500: 6,309.62 +1.1% (Tue-Tue)
Here we are again. New week, new thoughts (some good, some bad) and new things to consider.
It certainly appears that everything is going up. Stocks, gold, crypto and investor’s complacency. Higher and higher. I would say I’ve never seen anything like it, but I have. 1987. Specifically, the summer leading up to October 1987. I’d tell you what happened but I don’t want to spoil anyone’s summer.
Since markets have totally shaken off tariffs, inflation, Ukraine/Russia war, Israel/Iran…..Israel/Hamas….Israel/Anybody wars, immigration etc., etc., etc. Let’s put those in the back of the cabinet and bring in some new concerns.
Now, to keep current, we have the Epstein files (why?), the potential resignation/firing/criminal charge of Fed Chair J. Powell, the potential criminal charge against former president Obama, stubbornly high interest rates, etc. etc. etc.
So, will the markets shrug off the new list of concerns? Ya know, the markets probably will. We are in that kind of market environment.
Flashing back to my experience in 1987 it looks like the financial markets will chug higher and higher exploring highs not seen before. Then, when investors get tired of summer (September?), an explosive burst of buying creates the final end (October?) of the bull.
What to do? First, curb your enthusiasm and think ahead. If my scenario plays out, enjoy the moment but get ready to reduce risk, maybe put some downside hedges on and expect a nasty downturn…..October (?).
In the meantime, I am staying long BITCOIN and ETH. Period. BITCOIN may very well see $135K- $145K, ETH $4,500. Confident of this.
GOLD could see $4,500-$5k……..but I’ll stay pat. Neutral to bullish but I enjoy sleeping at night. I’m all in on BITCOIN.
S&P 500. Did I mention I like to sleep at night? I can see the S&P 500 at 7,000-7,500 on a panic BUT I don’t want to play. I am going to be looking for a place to get short. The downside will be nasty…..very nasty.
Short and semi-sweet, a final buying blow off in all sectors followed by a cliff diving sell off (-30% S&P). Enjoy the rest of the summer.
S&P 500….Neutral
GOLD……Neutral
Bitcoin……Bullish
ETH…..Bullish
2025 TARGETS:
- BITCOIN 2025…………$135K-$145K
- ETH 2025……………….$4,500
- GOLD 2025……………..$4,500-$5K (???)
- S&P 500 2025………….7,000-7,500 (???)
Current trading positions:
- BITCOIN…….LONG
- ETH….LONG
- GOLD….NONE
- SHORT….NONE
We compare the price of Bitcoin, Ethereum, Gold & the S&P 500. We use the CME Bitcoin Indexes (BRR & BRTI) and the CME Ethereum Indexes (ETH_RR_USD) & (ETH_RTI_USD) for reference as well as the London Bullion Market afternoon price settlement on the digital assets & gold.
Bill Taylor is CEO of Digital Wealth News. He is widely published & quoted in financial media and an international expert on markets and BTC, ETH, Gold & SP500.
His opinions are solely his own and for informative purposes only.
