By Bill Taylor, CEO / Digital Wealth News and AI & Finance
DISCLAIMER: The opinions expressed below are solely those of Bill Taylor & do not represent those of DWN or any affiliates. Any financial advice included here is for entertainment purposes only.
BULLISH –
NEUTRAL –
BEARISH – GOLD, BITCOIN, ETH, S&P 500
8/19/25 Closing Prices:
BTC: $113,146.36 -5.5% (Tue-Tue)
ETH: $4,145.01 -7.9% (Tue-Tue)
Gold: $3,274 -1% (Tue-Tue)
S&P 500: 6,411.37 -0.05% (Tue-Tue)
Welcome to the week before college football takes over the video screens. Peace is breaking out in Ukraine (uh, maybe/maybe not), the Jackson Hole Fed Policy Symposium winds up this weekend, and summer is about officially over (tears).
But hold on there, bullish investors. And there are way too many bullish investors. AND those bullish investors are not just talking… they’re long and fully invested. Problem.
Inflation has NOT gone down. Running 3% is not good. Markets have fully priced in an interest rate cut at the next Fed meeting (9/17). First it was 50 bps, now 25 bps — but there is a growing chance of no cut. Inflation does not warrant that. AND, if the next inflation numbers keep ticking up, a 25 bps raise may happen. (Fed Chair Powell says, take that, Trump). The markets are NOT ready for that.
I have been saying and hinting for weeks that you better get some hedges on. Fast. No hedge, no sympathy. A downside “dump” will be severe and sudden. Just saying.
Ironically, the sell-off may be led by BITCOIN and crypto. There is a severely overcrowded trade. No doubt BITCOIN and ETH will be higher LONG TERM, but not next month. I am a long-term bull, but I am on the short side now. BITCOIN $85K–$90K? Again, just saying.
GOLD has had a great run. Time for reality. Under $3K.
S&P 500 — get out of the way. Financial gravity is going to take this “everyone owned” index down huge. Believe me or not, get some hedges on.
If this sounds way too bearish for you… IT IS. Safety first.
S&P 500…..Bearish
GOLD…..Bearish
Bitcoin…..Bearish
ETH…..Bearish
2025 TARGETS:
- BITCOIN 2025………..?
- ETH 2025………………?
- GOLD 2025……………..?
- S&P 500 2025………….Down 25%
Current trading positions:
- BITCOIN…….Short
- ETH….NONE
- GOLD….NONE
- S&P 500….Short
We compare the price of Bitcoin, Ethereum, Gold & the S&P 500. We use the CME Bitcoin Indexes (BRR & BRTI) and the CME Ethereum Indexes (ETH_RR_USD) & (ETH_RTI_USD) for reference as well as the London Bullion Market afternoon price settlement on the digital assets & gold.
Bill Taylor is CEO of Digital Wealth News. He is widely published & quoted in financial media and an international expert on markets and BTC, ETH, Gold & SP500.
His opinions are solely his own and for informative purposes only.
